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Human dose extrapolation featured article

Animal models used widely in biomedical research to predict toxicity, safety, and efficacy of human interventions (including drugs, nutritional components, and bioactive compounds) are complicated by differences in xenobiotic or drug metabolism between animals and humans.

These differences arise from species' physiological, anatomical, metabolic, life span, and genetic diversity. Among the more straightforward is that larger animals, such as humans, generally require smaller drug doses than a strict weight basis would predict due to differences in body surface area.

Body surface area

A simple empirical approach called allometric scaling allows a dose to be scaled and normalized based on differences in body surface area to extrapolate doses from animal science to human research, resulting in a correction factor unique to the species.

For example:

  • 10 milligrams (mg) per kilogram (kg) body weight dose in rats is divided by a correction factor...

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Posted on January 8th 2020 (over 5 years)

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    Converting doses used in animal studies to human equivalent doses relies on scaling the dose based on differences in body surface area.

News & Publications

  • Ozempic, Wegovy, and other glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) drugs have catapulted into the mainstream of diabetes care, with more than 15 million people in the U.S. currently taking one. Evidence suggests GLP-1 drugs have many off-target effects—both good and bad—but healthcare providers don’t currently know the full extent of the drugs' effects. However, a recent analysis found that GLP-1s may reduce the risk of dementia, seizures, respiratory illnesses, cardiometabolic disorders, and certain infections more effectively than other diabetes drugs and typical care.

    Using the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs healthcare databases, researchers identified roughly two million people with diabetes who were using a GLP-1 drug, one of three common anti-diabetes drugs (sulfonylureas, DPP4 inhibitors, or SGLT2 inhibitors), or continuing their usual care without adding new therapies. They tracked the participants' health for about 3.6 years.

    They found that GLP-1 use was associated with a reduced risk of dementia (8%), seizures (10%), respiratory illnesses (10% to 25%), cardiometabolic disorders (7% to 22%), and certain infections (12% to 25%). However, the drugs were associated with an increased risk of gastrointestinal issues (5% to 20%), low blood pressure (10%), kidney problems (10% to 15%), arthritic disorders (10% to 16%), and pancreatitis (15% to 20%).

    These findings suggest that GLP-1 receptor agonists offer promising benefits for people with diabetes while highlighting potential risks. Further research will illuminate the full range of the drugs' effects. Learn more about GLP-1 drugs in this clip featuring Dr. Rhonda Patrick.

  • Cannabis use during adolescence has profound effects on critical cognitive functions, particularly sustained attention—the ability to focus on a task over time. A recent study found that problems with sustained attention in early adolescence may predict increased cannabis use later in life.

    The study involved more than 1,000 participants, starting at age 14 and continuing until age 23. Researchers measured the participants' attention performance and brain connectivity throughout the study. They also monitored their substance use over time to uncover long-term patterns.

    They found that poor sustained attention at age 14, in conjunction with weaker connectivity in attention-related brain networks, predicted higher cannabis use in young adulthood. Differences in these brain networks were stable over time, and the findings were consistent when tested in an external group of participants.

    These findings suggest that sustained attention and its underlying brain networks serve as reliable early markers of susceptibility to cannabis use. Cannabis use may disrupt the delicate balance of brain chemicals like dopamine, a neurotransmitter critical for attention and motivation. Learn how to improve attention by leveraging the effects of dopamine in this episode featuring Dr. Andrew Huberman.

  • Rapamycin, a compound initially discovered as an antifungal agent, has garnered considerable interest in longevity research due to its ability to inhibit mTOR, a protein that plays a critical role in cellular growth and aging. Studies in animal models have demonstrated rapamycin’s potential to extend lifespan and improve healthspan. However, translating these findings into human applications has proven complex, as substantial risks often accompany the benefits.

    Bryan Johnson is an internet personality who has made a name for himself by talking about his sometimes extravagant n=1 biohacking attempts to reverse aging. Recently, Johnson announced a reversal on his position on rapamycin: He thinks it might be making him age worse.

    Johnson tested various rapamycin dosing protocols to explore its anti-aging potential while minimizing adverse effects. These protocols included weekly doses of 5, 6, and 10 milligrams, biweekly doses of 13 milligrams, and an alternating weekly schedule of 6 and 13 milligrams.

    Although data from preclinical trials were promising, Johnson concluded that the long-term use of rapamycin in humans does not outweigh its drawbacks. Side effects, including intermittent skin and soft tissue infections, impaired lipid metabolism, elevated glucose levels, and increased resting heart rate, persisted regardless of dosage adjustments. After ruling out other potential causes, he attributed these issues to rapamycin and ultimately decided to discontinue its use.

    Other research supports his observations, demonstrating that chronic rapamycin use can impair lipid profiles, induce insulin resistance, and contribute to glucose intolerance and pancreatic beta-cell toxicity. While anecdotal evidence suggests that rapamycin may slow tumor growth, its suppression of natural killer cells raises concerns about impaired immune surveillance and potentially increased cancer risk over time.

    Further complicating the picture, a recent pre-print study presented new findings about rapamycin’s effects on aging. The study assessed the effects of rapamycin across 16 epigenetic aging clocks and found that it accelerated aging markers in humans. This analysis is noteworthy because most assessments have relied on only one or two aging clocks, raising concerns about the reliability of the findings.

    As Johnson notes, longevity research is a rapidly evolving field that requires continuous scrutiny of emerging studies and biomarkers. For now, his experience underscores the importance of balancing potential benefits against risks when exploring experimental compounds like rapamycin. Learn more about rapamycin in our overview article.

  • From the article:

    Oestrogen helps maintain the structure of blood vessel walls by promoting the division of endothelial cells within the vessel walls, which is important for repair if the vessels become damaged. However, oestrogen levels drop significantly at the menopause.

    Women have been shown to be more likely to develop a cerebral aneurysms after the age of 40 years, and aneurysms are most likely to rupture between the ages of 50 and 59 years.

    The authors asked 60 women with cerebral aneurysms about their use of the oral contraceptive pill and hormone replacement therapy, and this was compared with usage in 4,682 other women drawn from the general public.

    Women with cerebral aneurysms were found to have been significantly less likely to have taken oral contraceptives or hormone replacement therapy. Women with cerebral aneurysms also had an earlier average age of menopause.

    Previous studies have shown that use of the oral contraceptive pill protects against haemorrhagic stroke in later life, while women who start their periods early and/or do not have children are at greater risk.

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